Tesla Robotaxis Coming In Two Years, Musk Expects

One thing you can be sure of during a Tesla earnings call is that Elon Musk will mention new details about 10 different things he’s working on that were previously unknown. Here’s an example: During the call this week, Musk left that Tesla will have a fully autonomous robotic axle without steering wheels or brake pedals in service by 2024 — two years from now. At least, that’s the point.

“In terms of fully autonomous driving — for any technology development I’ve been involved in, I’ve never seen more false dawn — or where it looks like we’re going to hack, but we don’t — I’ve seen full autonomous driving,” Musk said. The thing is, to sell fully autonomous driving, you actually have to solve AI in the real world, which no one has solved.”

“The entire road system is built with biological neural networks and eyes. And in fact, when you think about it, in order to solve the driving problem, we have to solve neural networks and cameras to a degree of ability that really equals or exceeds humans. And I think we will achieve that this year.”

He added, “I think it could be a very powerful product as we aspire to reach production in 2024. I think so. [the robotaxi] It would truly be a massive driver for Tesla’s growth.” He said he believed the Tesla robotaxis would be “by far the lowest cost per mile of transportation.” [people have] since when. See some of our predictions. Ride the robots seems to cost less than a bus ticket, a subsidized bus ticket, or a subway ticket.”

What would the offering plan look like? Will they serve suburbs and rural areas or just city dwellers? we do not know.

Just a few days ago, we reported that Tesla had changed the terms of its lease contracts to prevent people who rent their cars from buying them at the end of the lease term or selling them to a third party. They should go back to Tesla, probably because the price of a used Tesla has gone up recently due to the market turmoil associated with the pandemic.

This limitation has been in place for Model 3 leases since 2019, the thinking was that they would be the basis for the Tesla robotaxi fleet when the original lease expired. This will not happen, it seems. The question is whether Tesla will continue down the path of fully autonomous robot cars that are supposed to be able to drive anywhere, or whether the company will simply fix some niche issues to get the cars to drive themselves well in certain geographies in order to get their hands on it. on Some On the road. The plan was always first.

Also, Tesla will continue to rely exclusively on cameras in its self-driving technology hardware when nearly every other company on Earth integrates radar and/or lidar into its self-driving technology.

Musk suggested that there will be an event next year dedicated to providing more details about the robot hub. He’s very good at orchestrating great shows but the promise of a fully autonomous Tesla is something that has been kept in the wind for many years. More recently, Musk has tapped into the idea of ​​a less expensive car, saying the company already had several projects on its plate — Cybertruck, Semi and Roadster 2.0, among others — that simply didn’t have the ability to take on another one.

However, all of a sudden, a new Robotaxy model has been added to the agenda with no indication of where it will be built or how many cars will be built. Despite his many traits, Elon has a tendency to make big promises that rarely pay off on time. Will there be a Tesla robotaxis in service in 2024? “We’ll see,” Syed Zain said.


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